Getafe must beat Iberia and Inter Escaldes to stay in

Getafe faces a crossroads: after losing 0‑1 to Brighton and having only one point after three matchdays, they need to beat Iberia in Tbilisi and Inter Escaldes at the Coliseum to keep alive their hopes of finishing among the top 24 of the Conference League.

According to FootRankings calculations, reaching seven points gives them a 98 % chance of qualifying, while with six points the probability drops to 50 % and with eight points it is 100 %. The blues must collect the six points they need for the safe zone in the two remaining games, as they have only earned one point in the three matchdays played.

Schedule and opponents

On November 26, José Bordalás' team will travel to Iberia Tbilisi in Georgia, and on December 10 they will host Inter Escaldes, an Andorran club, at the Coliseum, the lowest‑ranked opponents in the draw that also includes Monaco against Brighton and Ajax.

A win in both fixtures would lift Getafe to seven points before the final matchday, with a 98 % chance according to FootRankings. If either game ends in a draw, the maximum attainable would be five points, which would require securing at least one more point in Amsterdam to reach the six needed for a 50 % probability.

With a win and a loss, the side would be left with four points and would need to win at Ajax's ground in the sixth matchday to get back to seven. This scenario turns the final night of the league phase into a sudden‑death final.

The margin tightened on Thursday when Brighton beat Getafe 0‑1 with a header from Yalcouyé in the 64th minute. It was Getafe's second defeat at the Coliseum in this edition of the Conference League, after the loss to Lugano, and left them in 31st place, seven spots below the last playoff spot.

The format grants direct qualification to the round of 16 to the top eight, while the ninth to twenty‑fourth places contest the playoffs. With three matchdays left, Getafe's points ceiling is ten, and any slip‑up against Iberia or Inter Escaldes will shift the test to Amsterdam. If they secure victory in Tbilisi and at the Coliseum, a draw against Ajax on December 17 will be enough to reach eight points, a figure that FootRankings deems a safe passage.