Germany's quarter-final berth hinges on a win at the Olympiastadion

After the 3-1 victory in Serbia, the DFB‑selection in the Nations League has earned the chance to reach the quarter‑finals on its own, while the upcoming duel against the Netherlands at Berlin's Olympiastadion decides the final outcome.

A win against the Netherlands would make qualification perfect in any case.

If Greece does not win its parallel match against Serbia, Germany could even become group winner.

A German win by at least five goals would secure the group result, regardless of the outcome of the parallel match.

If Germany wins with a maximum four‑goal advantage, the team will enter the quarter‑finals as group runner‑up.

If Greece also wins, a three‑way comparison by goal difference decides, with Germany ahead of Greece thanks to a better record.

A draw against the Netherlands could also be enough, provided Greece loses to Serbia.

Otherwise Germany would fall back to third place and miss the knockout round.

If the DFB‑eleven loses to the Netherlands, the quarter‑finals are definitively no longer reachable.